Scouting Report
Adam Lowry holds a +3.3% FO% edge overall. Lowry wins 60.9% vs right-shot opponents — Suzuki shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 53.5% vs Suzuki 50.6% (+3.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Suzuki 66.8%
Defensive zone
Lowry 85.8%
Neutral zone
Lowry 62.5%
Result
Adam Lowry favored at 59.5%
59.5%
40.5%
Lowry
Suzuki
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
1
(4 meetings)
3
1
Lowry
Suzuki
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Lowry
Suzuki
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
2
0
Lowry
Suzuki
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Suzuki
Edge
Even Strength
55.7% (707)
51.3% (945)
+4.4%
Power Play
85.7% (7)
50.7% (282)
+35.0%
Penalty Kill
39.0% (100)
40.3% (67)
-1.3%
On power play, Lowry has a +35.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Suzuki shoots right. Lowry is 60.9% vs right-shot opponents (253).
Lowry shoots left. Suzuki is 49.5% vs left-shot opponents (976).
Home / Away
Lowry
Suzuki
Home
54.3% (429)
51.0% (637)
Away
53.5% (385)
50.2% (657)
By Period
Lowry
Suzuki
P1
53.1%
53.1%
P2
55.2%
47.4%
P3
54.4%
51.3%
OT
40.0%
48.6%
Final 5 min
57.1%
49.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
52.0%▼
53.5%
53.9%
Suzuki
54.0%▼
56.5%
50.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 4, 2026 | 3 | 04:02 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Feb 4, 2026 | 2 | 15:04 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 3, 2025 | 3 | 06:19 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Dec 3, 2025 | 2 | 09:31 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |