Scouting Report
Nico Hischier holds a +1.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Lowry on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 9 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 53.5% vs Hischier 55.4% (-1.9%)
H2H factor
Lowry leads 9-4 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Hischier 89.2%
Defensive zone
Lowry 51.0%
Neutral zone
Hischier 64.9%
Result
Nico Hischier favored at 66.2%
33.8%
66.2%
Lowry
Hischier
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
4
(13 meetings)
9
4
Lowry
Hischier
Last 10: Lowry 6-4 Hischier
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Lowry
Hischier
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
2
0
Lowry
Hischier
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lowry
6
3
Lowry
Hischier
9 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Hischier
Edge
Even Strength
55.7% (707)
55.5% (1,172)
+0.2%
Power Play
85.7% (7)
64.5% (265)
+21.2%
Penalty Kill
39.0% (100)
43.9% (164)
-4.9%
On power play, Lowry has a +21.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hischier shoots left. Lowry is 50.8% vs left-shot opponents (561).
Lowry shoots left. Hischier is 55.0% vs left-shot opponents (1,026).
Home / Away
Lowry
Hischier
Home
54.3% (429)
56.8% (791)
Away
53.5% (385)
54.8% (810)
By Period
Lowry
Hischier
P1
53.1%
56.0%
P2
55.2%
58.6%
P3
54.4%
53.5%
OT
40.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
57.1%
54.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
52.0%▼
53.5%
53.9%
Hischier
66.0%▲
58.0%
55.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 27, 2026 | 3 | 07:48 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Jan 27, 2026 | 3 | 07:38 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Jan 27, 2026 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Jan 27, 2026 | 2 | 07:51 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Jan 27, 2026 | 2 | 04:34 | Neutral | Nico Hischier |
| Jan 11, 2026 | 3 | 15:11 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Jan 11, 2026 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Jan 11, 2026 | 2 | 17:57 | Neutral | Nico Hischier |
| Jan 11, 2026 | 2 | 09:57 | Neutral | Nico Hischier |
| Jan 11, 2026 | 2 | 03:34 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Jan 11, 2026 | 2 | 03:28 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Jan 11, 2026 | 1 | 10:38 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Jan 11, 2026 | 1 | 01:07 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |