Scouting Report
Nico Hischier holds a +7.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Hischier on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 49.1% vs Hischier 56.2% (-7.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lowry 68.8%
Defensive zone
Lowry 92.8%
Neutral zone
Lowry 76.2%
Result
Adam Lowry favored at 68.8%
68.8%
31.2%
Lowry
Hischier
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
4
(4 meetings)
0
4
Lowry
Hischier
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hischier
0
4
Lowry
Hischier
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Hischier
Edge
Even Strength
49.3% (1,064)
56.1% (1,018)
-6.8%
Power Play
67.7% (65)
59.9% (289)
+7.8%
Penalty Kill
42.6% (251)
51.3% (80)
-8.7%
On penalty kill, Hischier has a +8.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hischier shoots left. Lowry is 48.9% vs left-shot opponents (968).
Lowry shoots left. Hischier is 54.4% vs left-shot opponents (919).
Home / Away
Lowry
Hischier
Home
50.2% (671)
56.5% (706)
Away
47.8% (709)
56.7% (681)
By Period
Lowry
Hischier
P1
48.4%
54.8%
P2
50.1%
57.8%
P3
47.8%
57.6%
OT
66.7%
14.3%
Final 5 min
43.8%
54.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
52.0%▼
53.5%
49.0%
Hischier
66.0%▲
58.0%
56.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2024 | 3 | 10:29 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Mar 21, 2024 | 3 | 04:21 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Mar 21, 2024 | 2 | 12:55 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Mar 21, 2024 | 2 | 08:51 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |