Scouting Report
Adam Lowry holds a +5.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Lowry on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 51.6% vs Jokinen 46.4% (+5.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lowry 64.2%
Defensive zone
Lowry 93.9%
Neutral zone
Lowry 89.2%
Result
Adam Lowry favored at 87.9%
87.9%
12.1%
Lowry
Jokinen
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
2
(8 meetings)
6
2
Lowry
Jokinen
Last 8: Lowry 6-2 Jokinen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Jokinen
0
1
Lowry
Jokinen
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
3
0
Lowry
Jokinen
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lowry
3
1
Lowry
Jokinen
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Jokinen
Edge
Even Strength
52.9% (9,162)
45.8% (3,924)
+7.1%
Power Play
57.2% (456)
50.8% (585)
+6.4%
Penalty Kill
44.8% (2,150)
42.9% (247)
+1.9%
On even strength, Lowry has a +7.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jokinen shoots left. Lowry is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (7,758).
Lowry shoots left. Jokinen is 46.9% vs left-shot opponents (3,240).
Home / Away
Lowry
Jokinen
Home
53.5% (5,920)
47.4% (2,345)
Away
49.6% (5,848)
45.3% (2,443)
By Period
Lowry
Jokinen
P1
51.6%
45.6%
P2
51.7%
47.5%
P3
51.5%
45.4%
OT
46.3%
56.1%
Final 5 min
52.8%
45.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
52.0%▼
53.5%
51.6%
Jokinen
38.0%▼
42.5%
46.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 21, 2015 | 3 | 11:49 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Feb 21, 2015 | 3 | 09:46 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Feb 21, 2015 | 3 | 03:57 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Feb 21, 2015 | 3 | 01:21 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Feb 21, 2015 | 3 | 01:13 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Feb 21, 2015 | 1 | 01:16 | Neutral | Olli Jokinen |
| Nov 4, 2014 | 2 | 16:17 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 4, 2014 | 2 | 13:24 | Offensive | Olli Jokinen |