Scouting Report
Adam Lowry holds a +8.5% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 53.5% vs Byfield 45.8% (+8.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Byfield 66.8%
Defensive zone
Byfield 71.0%
Neutral zone
Byfield 74.4%
Result
Quinton Byfield favored at 71.5%
28.5%
71.5%
Lowry
Byfield
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Lowry
Byfield
Last 5: Lowry 1-4 Byfield
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Byfield
0
1
Lowry
Byfield
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Byfield
0
2
Lowry
Byfield
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Lowry
Byfield
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Byfield
Edge
Even Strength
55.7% (707)
46.8% (801)
+8.9%
Power Play
85.7% (7)
50.8% (59)
+34.9%
Penalty Kill
39.0% (100)
35.9% (153)
+3.1%
On power play, Lowry has a +34.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Byfield shoots left. Lowry is 50.8% vs left-shot opponents (561).
Lowry shoots left. Byfield is 44.0% vs left-shot opponents (666).
Home / Away
Lowry
Byfield
Home
54.3% (429)
46.3% (462)
Away
53.5% (385)
44.6% (551)
By Period
Lowry
Byfield
P1
53.1%
44.6%
P2
55.2%
43.4%
P3
54.4%
48.7%
OT
40.0%
37.9%
Final 5 min
57.1%
42.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
52.0%▼
53.5%
53.9%
Byfield
54.0%▼
57.0%
45.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 9, 2026 | 3 | 13:04 | Offensive | Quinton Byfield |
| Jan 9, 2026 | 3 | 07:58 | Defensive | Quinton Byfield |
| Jan 9, 2026 | 3 | 00:55 | Neutral | Quinton Byfield |
| Jan 9, 2026 | 2 | 09:32 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Jan 9, 2026 | 2 | 04:16 | Defensive | Quinton Byfield |