Scouting Report
Roope Hintz holds a +5.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Hintz on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 53.5% vs Hintz 58.0% (-5.2%)
H2H factor
Hintz leads 7-4 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Hintz 64.8%
Defensive zone
Lowry 85.1%
Neutral zone
Lowry 64.9%
Result
Adam Lowry favored at 55.1%
55.1%
44.9%
Lowry
Hintz
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
7
(11 meetings)
4
7
Lowry
Hintz
Last 10: Lowry 3-7 Hintz
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hintz
1
4
Lowry
Hintz
5 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Lowry
Hintz
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Lowry
Hintz
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Hintz
Edge
Even Strength
55.7% (707)
58.7% (530)
-3.0%
Power Play
85.7% (7)
59.4% (170)
+26.3%
Penalty Kill
39.0% (100)
66.7% (27)
-27.7%
On penalty kill, Hintz has a +27.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hintz shoots left. Lowry is 50.8% vs left-shot opponents (561).
Lowry shoots left. Hintz is 60.2% vs left-shot opponents (467).
Home / Away
Lowry
Hintz
Home
54.3% (429)
60.2% (354)
Away
53.5% (385)
58.2% (373)
By Period
Lowry
Hintz
P1
53.1%
58.4%
P2
55.2%
59.8%
P3
54.4%
58.2%
OT
40.0%
81.8%
Final 5 min
57.1%
57.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
52.0%▼
53.5%
53.9%
Hintz
64.0%▲
61.0%
59.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 2, 2026 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Roope Hintz |
| Feb 2, 2026 | 3 | 18:17 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Feb 2, 2026 | 3 | 11:31 | Offensive | Roope Hintz |
| Feb 2, 2026 | 3 | 05:36 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Feb 2, 2026 | 2 | 12:20 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 9, 2025 | 3 | 03:07 | Offensive | Roope Hintz |
| Dec 9, 2025 | 3 | 01:06 | Defensive | Roope Hintz |
| Dec 9, 2025 | 1 | 16:55 | Neutral | Roope Hintz |
| Dec 9, 2025 | 1 | 10:22 | Offensive | Roope Hintz |
| Dec 9, 2025 | 1 | 10:01 | Offensive | Roope Hintz |
| Dec 9, 2025 | 1 | 00:44 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |