Scouting Report
Adam Lowry holds a +5.4% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 53.5% vs Colton 49.2% (+5.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Colton 59.0%
Defensive zone
Lowry 84.0%
Neutral zone
Lowry 71.5%
Result
Adam Lowry favored at 71.5%
71.5%
28.5%
Lowry
Colton
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Lowry
Colton
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lowry
1
0
Lowry
Colton
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Colton
Edge
Even Strength
55.7% (707)
47.3% (91)
+8.4%
Power Play
85.7% (7)
71.4% (7)
+14.3%
Penalty Kill
39.0% (100)
0.0% (1)
+39.0%
On penalty kill, Lowry has a +39.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Colton shoots left. Lowry is 50.8% vs left-shot opponents (561).
Lowry shoots left. Colton is 45.8% vs left-shot opponents (59).
Home / Away
Lowry
Colton
Home
54.3% (429)
46.9% (49)
Away
53.5% (385)
50.0% (50)
By Period
Lowry
Colton
P1
53.1%
56.4%
P2
55.2%
47.1%
P3
54.4%
38.5%
Final 5 min
57.1%
41.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
52.0%▼
53.5%
53.9%
Colton
46.0%▲
44.0%
48.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 19, 2025 | 3 | 03:38 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |