Scouting Report
Adam Lowry holds a +3.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Lowry on offensive-zone draws (63% H2H, 8 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 51.6% vs Carpenter 48.5% (+3.2%)
H2H factor
Lowry leads 9-7 in 16 meetings
Offensive zone
Lowry 61.7%
Defensive zone
Lowry 70.6%
Neutral zone
Lowry 60.7%
Result
Adam Lowry favored at 62.4%
62.4%
37.6%
Lowry
Carpenter
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
7
(16 meetings)
9
7
Lowry
Carpenter
Last 10: Lowry 6-4 Carpenter
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
5
3
Lowry
Carpenter
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
2
0
Lowry
Carpenter
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Carpenter
2
4
Lowry
Carpenter
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Carpenter
Edge
Even Strength
52.9% (9,162)
49.6% (2,027)
+3.3%
Power Play
57.2% (456)
41.5% (41)
+15.7%
Penalty Kill
44.8% (2,150)
43.9% (467)
+0.9%
On power play, Lowry has a +15.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carpenter shoots right. Lowry is 52.2% vs right-shot opponents (4,010).
Lowry shoots left. Carpenter is 46.8% vs left-shot opponents (1,840).
Home / Away
Lowry
Carpenter
Home
53.5% (5,920)
51.2% (1,290)
Away
49.6% (5,848)
45.5% (1,245)
By Period
Lowry
Carpenter
P1
51.6%
49.6%
P2
51.7%
47.7%
P3
51.5%
48.0%
OT
46.3%
55.6%
Final 5 min
52.8%
49.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
52.0%▼
53.5%
51.6%
Carpenter
48.0%▬
47.0%
48.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 14, 2024 | 2 | 17:53 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Feb 14, 2024 | 1 | 06:02 | Offensive | Ryan Carpenter |
| Jan 4, 2024 | 3 | 11:54 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Jan 4, 2024 | 3 | 03:14 | Neutral | Ryan Carpenter |
| Jan 4, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Carpenter |
| Jan 4, 2024 | 1 | 03:06 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Jan 4, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Carpenter |
| Feb 14, 2022 | 1 | 16:00 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Feb 14, 2022 | 1 | 13:45 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Jan 19, 2020 | 1 | 05:07 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 19, 2019 | 1 | 00:59 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 21, 2019 | 2 | 06:17 | Neutral | Ryan Carpenter |
| Mar 21, 2019 | 1 | 13:29 | Offensive | Ryan Carpenter |
| Mar 21, 2019 | 1 | 08:35 | Offensive | Ryan Carpenter |
| Jan 24, 2017 | 3 | 16:51 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Jan 24, 2017 | 3 | 14:38 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |