Scouting Report
Ryan Johansen holds a +1.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Johansen on offensive-zone draws (88% H2H, 41 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 51.6% vs Johansen 53.3% (-1.8%)
H2H factor
Johansen leads 57-43 in 100 meetings
Offensive zone
Johansen 65.0%
Defensive zone
Lowry 80.9%
Neutral zone
Lowry 58.0%
Result
Adam Lowry favored at 55.7%
55.7%
44.3%
Lowry
Johansen
Head-to-Head Record
43
-
57
(100 meetings)
43
57
Lowry
Johansen
Last 10: Lowry 5-5 Johansen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Johansen
5
36
Lowry
Johansen
41 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
25
6
Lowry
Johansen
31 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Johansen
13
15
Lowry
Johansen
28 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Johansen
Edge
Even Strength
52.9% (9,162)
53.1% (11,017)
-0.2%
Power Play
57.2% (456)
56.2% (2,163)
+1.0%
Penalty Kill
44.8% (2,150)
50.5% (978)
-5.7%
On penalty kill, Johansen has a +5.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johansen shoots right. Lowry is 52.2% vs right-shot opponents (4,010).
Lowry shoots left. Johansen is 54.3% vs left-shot opponents (9,788).
Home / Away
Lowry
Johansen
Home
53.5% (5,920)
55.0% (7,001)
Away
49.6% (5,848)
51.7% (7,158)
By Period
Lowry
Johansen
P1
51.6%
53.2%
P2
51.7%
53.9%
P3
51.5%
52.8%
OT
46.3%
58.2%
Final 5 min
52.8%
52.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
52.0%▼
53.5%
51.6%
Johansen
48.0%▬
48.5%
53.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 16, 2023 | 2 | 19:48 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Dec 7, 2023 | 3 | 04:15 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 7, 2023 | 1 | 12:19 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Dec 7, 2023 | 1 | 09:36 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Jan 24, 2023 | 3 | 10:12 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Jan 24, 2023 | 3 | 09:40 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Jan 24, 2023 | 2 | 15:41 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Jan 24, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Dec 15, 2022 | 3 | 08:32 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 15, 2022 | 2 | 15:56 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 15, 2022 | 1 | 15:24 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Dec 15, 2022 | 1 | 14:22 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Dec 15, 2022 | 1 | 14:16 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Feb 12, 2022 | 2 | 09:58 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Feb 12, 2022 | 1 | 06:35 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Feb 12, 2022 | 1 | 04:29 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Jan 20, 2022 | 2 | 14:11 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Jan 20, 2022 | 1 | 05:26 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Jan 20, 2022 | 1 | 02:45 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Oct 23, 2021 | 2 | 19:49 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |