Scouting Report
Adam Lowry holds a +6.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Lowry on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 53.5% vs Poehling 48.0% (+6.2%)
H2H factor
Lowry leads 10-2 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Lowry 84.4%
Defensive zone
Lowry 73.0%
Neutral zone
Lowry 74.8%
Result
Adam Lowry favored at 78.1%
78.1%
21.9%
Lowry
Poehling
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
2
(12 meetings)
10
2
Lowry
Poehling
Last 10: Lowry 8-2 Poehling
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
5
0
Lowry
Poehling
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
4
1
Lowry
Poehling
5 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Lowry
Poehling
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Poehling
Edge
Even Strength
55.7% (707)
50.4% (680)
+5.3%
Power Play
85.7% (7)
58.3% (12)
+27.4%
Penalty Kill
39.0% (100)
38.8% (219)
+0.2%
On power play, Lowry has a +27.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Poehling shoots left. Lowry is 50.8% vs left-shot opponents (561).
Lowry shoots left. Poehling is 46.2% vs left-shot opponents (615).
Home / Away
Lowry
Poehling
Home
54.3% (429)
47.4% (422)
Away
53.5% (385)
48.1% (489)
By Period
Lowry
Poehling
P1
53.1%
53.3%
P2
55.2%
40.3%
P3
54.4%
50.0%
OT
40.0%
40.0%
Final 5 min
57.1%
52.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
52.0%▼
53.5%
53.9%
Poehling
60.0%▲
53.5%
47.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 10, 2026 | 3 | 13:38 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 10, 2026 | 2 | 10:49 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 10, 2026 | 2 | 10:42 | Defensive | Ryan Poehling |
| Feb 27, 2026 | OT | 00:11 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Feb 27, 2026 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Feb 27, 2026 | 3 | 18:38 | Neutral | Ryan Poehling |
| Feb 27, 2026 | 3 | 11:35 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Feb 27, 2026 | 2 | 07:19 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Feb 27, 2026 | 2 | 00:50 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 9, 2025 | 3 | 10:45 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 9, 2025 | 3 | 07:32 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 9, 2025 | 1 | 15:23 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |