Scouting Report
Adam Lowry holds a +3.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Lowry on offensive-zone draws (62% H2H, 13 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 51.6% vs Poehling 48.2% (+3.4%)
H2H factor
Lowry leads 18-16 in 34 meetings
Offensive zone
Lowry 61.4%
Defensive zone
Lowry 63.6%
Neutral zone
Lowry 60.7%
Result
Adam Lowry favored at 61.7%
61.7%
38.3%
Lowry
Poehling
Head-to-Head Record
18
-
16
(34 meetings)
18
16
Lowry
Poehling
Last 10: Lowry 8-2 Poehling
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
8
5
Lowry
Poehling
13 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
5
4
Lowry
Poehling
9 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Poehling
5
7
Lowry
Poehling
12 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Poehling
Edge
Even Strength
52.9% (9,162)
49.6% (2,766)
+3.3%
Power Play
57.2% (456)
51.6% (93)
+5.6%
Penalty Kill
44.8% (2,150)
41.7% (631)
+3.1%
On power play, Lowry has a +5.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Poehling shoots left. Lowry is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (7,758).
Lowry shoots left. Poehling is 47.4% vs left-shot opponents (2,340).
Home / Away
Lowry
Poehling
Home
53.5% (5,920)
49.3% (1,688)
Away
49.6% (5,848)
47.2% (1,802)
By Period
Lowry
Poehling
P1
51.6%
50.9%
P2
51.7%
47.1%
P3
51.5%
47.1%
OT
46.3%
37.9%
Final 5 min
52.8%
47.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
52.0%▼
53.5%
51.6%
Poehling
58.0%▲
52.5%
48.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 10, 2026 | 3 | 13:38 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 10, 2026 | 2 | 10:49 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 10, 2026 | 2 | 10:42 | Defensive | Ryan Poehling |
| Feb 27, 2026 | OT | 00:11 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Feb 27, 2026 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Feb 27, 2026 | 3 | 18:38 | Neutral | Ryan Poehling |
| Feb 27, 2026 | 3 | 11:35 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Feb 27, 2026 | 2 | 07:19 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Feb 27, 2026 | 2 | 00:50 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 9, 2025 | 3 | 10:45 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 9, 2025 | 3 | 07:32 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 9, 2025 | 1 | 15:23 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 6, 2025 | 3 | 02:57 | Neutral | Ryan Poehling |
| Mar 6, 2025 | 2 | 05:28 | Neutral | Ryan Poehling |
| Feb 8, 2024 | 3 | 11:49 | Offensive | Ryan Poehling |
| Feb 8, 2024 | 2 | 08:17 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Feb 8, 2024 | 1 | 19:04 | Neutral | Ryan Poehling |
| Feb 8, 2024 | 1 | 15:58 | Defensive | Ryan Poehling |
| Feb 8, 2024 | 1 | 10:21 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Feb 8, 2024 | 1 | 00:04 | Neutral | Ryan Poehling |