Scouting Report
Adam Lowry holds a +4.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Lafferty on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 51.6% vs Lafferty 47.5% (+4.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lafferty 69.0%
Defensive zone
Lafferty 69.2%
Neutral zone
Lafferty 72.7%
Result
Sam Lafferty favored at 71.5%
28.5%
71.5%
Lowry
Lafferty
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
7
(9 meetings)
2
7
Lowry
Lafferty
Last 9: Lowry 2-7 Lafferty
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lafferty
0
2
Lowry
Lafferty
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lafferty
0
1
Lowry
Lafferty
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lafferty
2
4
Lowry
Lafferty
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Lafferty
Edge
Even Strength
52.9% (9,162)
47.9% (1,417)
+5.0%
Power Play
57.2% (456)
45.7% (46)
+11.5%
Penalty Kill
44.8% (2,150)
43.5% (184)
+1.3%
On power play, Lowry has a +11.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lafferty shoots right. Lowry is 52.2% vs right-shot opponents (4,010).
Lowry shoots left. Lafferty is 46.9% vs left-shot opponents (1,252).
Home / Away
Lowry
Lafferty
Home
53.5% (5,920)
47.3% (833)
Away
49.6% (5,848)
47.4% (814)
By Period
Lowry
Lafferty
P1
51.6%
49.4%
P2
51.7%
43.1%
P3
51.5%
49.6%
OT
46.3%
60.0%
Final 5 min
52.8%
45.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
52.0%▼
53.5%
51.6%
Lafferty
50.0%▬
50.5%
47.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 9, 2024 | 3 | 15:06 | Neutral | Sam Lafferty |
| Mar 9, 2024 | 3 | 02:07 | Defensive | Sam Lafferty |
| Mar 9, 2024 | 1 | 15:52 | Offensive | Sam Lafferty |
| Mar 9, 2024 | 1 | 07:16 | Neutral | Sam Lafferty |
| Mar 9, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Feb 17, 2024 | 3 | 07:47 | Neutral | Sam Lafferty |
| Feb 11, 2023 | 2 | 18:37 | Offensive | Sam Lafferty |
| Feb 11, 2023 | 2 | 12:09 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Feb 14, 2022 | 2 | 19:44 | Neutral | Sam Lafferty |