Scouting Report
Sean Couturier holds a +1.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Lowry on offensive-zone draws (71% H2H, 17 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 51.6% vs Couturier 52.6% (-1.0%)
H2H factor
Lowry leads 31-19 in 50 meetings
Offensive zone
Couturier 84.9%
Defensive zone
Couturier 56.1%
Neutral zone
Couturier 59.2%
Result
Sean Couturier favored at 66.9%
33.1%
66.9%
Lowry
Couturier
Head-to-Head Record
31
-
19
(50 meetings)
31
19
Lowry
Couturier
Last 10: Lowry 5-5 Couturier
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
12
5
Lowry
Couturier
17 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
11
6
Lowry
Couturier
17 total
Neutral Zone
Even
8
8
Lowry
Couturier
16 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Couturier
Edge
Even Strength
52.9% (9,162)
52.5% (11,097)
+0.4%
Power Play
57.2% (456)
59.7% (1,280)
-2.5%
Penalty Kill
44.8% (2,150)
48.5% (1,823)
-3.7%
On penalty kill, Couturier has a +3.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Couturier shoots left. Lowry is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (7,758).
Lowry shoots left. Couturier is 52.4% vs left-shot opponents (8,936).
Home / Away
Lowry
Couturier
Home
53.5% (5,920)
53.4% (7,171)
Away
49.6% (5,848)
51.8% (7,036)
By Period
Lowry
Couturier
P1
51.6%
52.6%
P2
51.7%
52.6%
P3
51.5%
52.9%
OT
46.3%
49.6%
Final 5 min
52.8%
53.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
52.0%▼
53.5%
51.6%
Couturier
64.0%▲
56.0%
52.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 6, 2025 | 3 | 16:55 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Mar 6, 2025 | 3 | 16:47 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Mar 6, 2025 | 3 | 05:21 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 6, 2025 | 3 | 00:42 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Mar 6, 2025 | 2 | 19:53 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Mar 6, 2025 | 2 | 13:51 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Mar 6, 2025 | 2 | 08:47 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 6, 2025 | 1 | 15:21 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 6, 2025 | 1 | 15:13 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 6, 2025 | 1 | 06:35 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 6, 2025 | 1 | 01:25 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 6, 2025 | 1 | 01:08 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Mar 1, 2025 | OT | 01:46 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Mar 1, 2025 | 3 | 19:52 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 1, 2025 | 3 | 19:29 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Mar 1, 2025 | 2 | 07:50 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Feb 8, 2024 | 1 | 10:46 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Feb 8, 2024 | 1 | 03:37 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Jan 28, 2019 | 2 | 19:38 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Jan 28, 2019 | 1 | 16:09 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |