Scouting Report
Adam Lowry holds a +1.2% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 53.5% vs Monahan 52.5% (+1.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Monahan 75.1%
Defensive zone
Lowry 68.0%
Neutral zone
Monahan 56.9%
Result
Sean Monahan favored at 75.1%
24.9%
75.1%
Lowry
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Lowry
Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
0
1
Lowry
Monahan
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
55.7% (707)
53.0% (874)
+2.7%
Power Play
85.7% (7)
54.7% (161)
+31.0%
Penalty Kill
39.0% (100)
47.5% (101)
-8.5%
On power play, Lowry has a +31.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Lowry is 50.8% vs left-shot opponents (561).
Lowry shoots left. Monahan is 53.1% vs left-shot opponents (710).
Home / Away
Lowry
Monahan
Home
54.3% (429)
53.8% (558)
Away
53.5% (385)
51.7% (578)
By Period
Lowry
Monahan
P1
53.1%
49.5%
P2
55.2%
54.8%
P3
54.4%
52.8%
OT
40.0%
61.9%
Final 5 min
57.1%
53.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
52.0%▼
53.5%
53.9%
Monahan
40.0%▼
51.0%
52.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 18, 2025 | 3 | 06:47 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |