Scouting Report
Adam Lowry holds a +10.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Lowry on defensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 51.6% vs Jarvis 42.5% (+10.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lowry 78.7%
Defensive zone
Lowry 97.5%
Neutral zone
Lowry 94.2%
Result
Adam Lowry favored at 94.9%
94.9%
5.1%
Lowry
Jarvis
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
1
(7 meetings)
6
1
Lowry
Jarvis
Last 7: Lowry 6-1 Jarvis
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
1
0
Lowry
Jarvis
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
5
1
Lowry
Jarvis
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Jarvis
Edge
Even Strength
52.9% (9,162)
41.8% (354)
+11.1%
Power Play
57.2% (456)
43.7% (119)
+13.5%
Penalty Kill
44.8% (2,150)
38.2% (157)
+6.6%
On power play, Lowry has a +13.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jarvis shoots right. Lowry is 52.2% vs right-shot opponents (4,010).
Lowry shoots left. Jarvis is 40.1% vs left-shot opponents (514).
Home / Away
Lowry
Jarvis
Home
53.5% (5,920)
43.8% (336)
Away
49.6% (5,848)
38.4% (294)
By Period
Lowry
Jarvis
P1
51.6%
39.5%
P2
51.7%
39.5%
P3
51.5%
45.8%
OT
46.3%
33.3%
Final 5 min
52.8%
38.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
52.0%▼
53.5%
51.6%
Jarvis
40.0%▲
38.0%
41.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 9, 2025 | 3 | 01:31 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 9, 2025 | 1 | 12:07 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 2, 2024 | 2 | 17:56 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 2, 2024 | 2 | 07:15 | Defensive | Seth Jarvis |
| Mar 2, 2024 | 2 | 07:11 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 2, 2024 | 1 | 18:26 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 4, 2023 | 2 | 12:25 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |