Scouting Report
Adam Lowry holds a +2.6% FO% edge overall. Lowry wins 60.9% vs right-shot opponents — Pinto shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 53.5% vs Pinto 51.1% (+2.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lowry 57.6%
Defensive zone
Lowry 54.1%
Neutral zone
Lowry 71.2%
Result
Adam Lowry favored at 55.8%
55.8%
44.2%
Lowry
Pinto
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
0
(2 meetings)
2
0
Lowry
Pinto
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
1
0
Lowry
Pinto
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
1
0
Lowry
Pinto
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Pinto
Edge
Even Strength
55.7% (707)
50.5% (556)
+5.2%
Power Play
85.7% (7)
68.0% (25)
+17.7%
Penalty Kill
39.0% (100)
51.1% (94)
-12.1%
On power play, Lowry has a +17.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pinto shoots right. Lowry is 60.9% vs right-shot opponents (253).
Lowry shoots left. Pinto is 51.1% vs left-shot opponents (491).
Home / Away
Lowry
Pinto
Home
54.3% (429)
50.0% (310)
Away
53.5% (385)
52.3% (365)
By Period
Lowry
Pinto
P1
53.1%
51.8%
P2
55.2%
49.8%
P3
54.4%
53.1%
OT
40.0%
44.4%
Final 5 min
57.1%
51.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
52.0%▼
53.5%
53.9%
Pinto
54.0%▲
52.5%
51.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 3, 2026 | 1 | 19:18 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Jan 3, 2026 | 1 | 07:43 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |