Scouting Report
Adam Lowry holds a +1.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Lowry on neutral-zone draws (64% H2H, 11 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 51.6% vs Pinto 50.4% (+1.2%)
H2H factor
Lowry leads 11-6 in 17 meetings
Offensive zone
Lowry 55.1%
Defensive zone
Lowry 69.6%
Neutral zone
Lowry 64.7%
Result
Adam Lowry favored at 63.0%
63.0%
37.0%
Lowry
Pinto
Head-to-Head Record
11
-
6
(17 meetings)
11
6
Lowry
Pinto
Last 10: Lowry 6-4 Pinto
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Lowry
Pinto
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
2
0
Lowry
Pinto
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lowry
7
4
Lowry
Pinto
11 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Pinto
Edge
Even Strength
52.9% (9,162)
50.7% (2,752)
+2.2%
Power Play
57.2% (456)
54.4% (90)
+2.8%
Penalty Kill
44.8% (2,150)
45.6% (239)
-0.8%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pinto shoots right. Lowry is 52.2% vs right-shot opponents (4,010).
Lowry shoots left. Pinto is 50.9% vs left-shot opponents (2,216).
Home / Away
Lowry
Pinto
Home
53.5% (5,920)
51.1% (1,510)
Away
49.6% (5,848)
49.6% (1,571)
By Period
Lowry
Pinto
P1
51.6%
48.4%
P2
51.7%
51.9%
P3
51.5%
50.9%
OT
46.3%
46.7%
Final 5 min
52.8%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
52.0%▼
53.5%
51.6%
Pinto
54.0%▲
52.5%
50.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 3, 2026 | 1 | 19:18 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Jan 3, 2026 | 1 | 07:43 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 30, 2024 | 3 | 14:14 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 30, 2024 | 3 | 09:53 | Neutral | Shane Pinto |
| Mar 30, 2024 | 3 | 09:48 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 30, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Shane Pinto |
| Mar 30, 2024 | 2 | 12:36 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 30, 2024 | 1 | 16:53 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 30, 2024 | 1 | 02:50 | Offensive | Shane Pinto |
| Mar 30, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Shane Pinto |
| Jan 21, 2023 | 2 | 13:09 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Jan 21, 2023 | 1 | 06:58 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Jan 21, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 20, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 20, 2022 | 1 | 15:41 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| May 8, 2021 | 1 | 14:04 | Offensive | Shane Pinto |
| May 3, 2021 | 1 | 11:31 | Neutral | Shane Pinto |