Scouting Report
Sidney Crosby holds a +1.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Lowry on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 53.5% vs Crosby 55.1% (-1.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Crosby 82.8%
Defensive zone
Lowry 80.8%
Neutral zone
Crosby 50.7%
Result
Sidney Crosby favored at 54.4%
45.6%
54.4%
Lowry
Crosby
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
4
(9 meetings)
5
4
Lowry
Crosby
Last 9: Lowry 5-4 Crosby
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
1
2
Lowry
Crosby
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Lowry
Crosby
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lowry
3
1
Lowry
Crosby
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Crosby
Edge
Even Strength
55.7% (707)
53.3% (1,025)
+2.4%
Power Play
85.7% (7)
64.7% (249)
+21.0%
Penalty Kill
39.0% (100)
60.0% (15)
-21.0%
On power play, Lowry has a +21.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Crosby shoots left. Lowry is 50.8% vs left-shot opponents (561).
Lowry shoots left. Crosby is 54.8% vs left-shot opponents (914).
Home / Away
Lowry
Crosby
Home
54.3% (429)
56.9% (675)
Away
53.5% (385)
54.1% (614)
By Period
Lowry
Crosby
P1
53.1%
55.1%
P2
55.2%
53.1%
P3
54.4%
58.5%
OT
40.0%
54.2%
Final 5 min
57.1%
54.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
52.0%▼
53.5%
53.9%
Crosby
46.0%▼
54.0%
55.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2026 | OT | 03:23 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 21, 2026 | OT | 01:40 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 21, 2026 | 3 | 19:20 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 21, 2026 | 3 | 02:58 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 21, 2026 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 21, 2026 | 2 | 05:44 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 21, 2026 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 21, 2026 | 1 | 05:53 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 21, 2026 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |