Scouting Report
Adam Lowry holds a +3.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Lowry on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 51.6% vs Lorentz 48.5% (+3.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lowry 56.5%
Defensive zone
Lowry 85.8%
Neutral zone
Lowry 78.3%
Result
Adam Lowry favored at 78.4%
78.4%
21.6%
Lowry
Lorentz
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Lowry
Lorentz
Last 7: Lowry 5-2 Lorentz
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
1
0
Lowry
Lorentz
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
3
0
Lowry
Lorentz
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lorentz
1
2
Lowry
Lorentz
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Lorentz
Edge
Even Strength
52.9% (9,162)
48.9% (1,125)
+4.0%
Power Play
57.2% (456)
50.0% (26)
+7.2%
Penalty Kill
44.8% (2,150)
41.8% (91)
+3.0%
On power play, Lowry has a +7.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lorentz shoots left. Lowry is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (7,758).
Lowry shoots left. Lorentz is 50.3% vs left-shot opponents (784).
Home / Away
Lowry
Lorentz
Home
53.5% (5,920)
50.6% (609)
Away
49.6% (5,848)
46.3% (633)
By Period
Lowry
Lorentz
P1
51.6%
53.0%
P2
51.7%
46.7%
P3
51.5%
46.2%
OT
46.3%
0.0%
Final 5 min
52.8%
48.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
52.0%▼
53.5%
51.6%
Lorentz
48.0%▬
48.0%
48.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 10, 2023 | 3 | 07:41 | Neutral | Steven Lorentz |
| Apr 10, 2023 | 3 | 07:35 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Apr 10, 2023 | 1 | 14:26 | Neutral | Steven Lorentz |
| Apr 10, 2023 | 1 | 08:40 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 28, 2023 | 3 | 12:53 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 28, 2023 | 1 | 05:04 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 6, 2023 | 1 | 19:21 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |