Scouting Report
Adam Lowry holds a +9.3% FO% edge overall. Lowry wins 60.9% vs right-shot opponents — Thompson shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 53.5% vs Thompson 45.2% (+9.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Thompson 51.3%
Defensive zone
Lowry 85.1%
Neutral zone
Lowry 72.2%
Result
Adam Lowry favored at 85.1%
85.1%
14.9%
Lowry
Thompson
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Lowry
Thompson
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
1
0
Lowry
Thompson
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Thompson
Edge
Even Strength
55.7% (707)
44.6% (661)
+11.1%
Power Play
85.7% (7)
48.4% (95)
+37.3%
Penalty Kill
39.0% (100)
33.3% (33)
+5.7%
On power play, Lowry has a +37.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thompson shoots right. Lowry is 60.9% vs right-shot opponents (253).
Lowry shoots left. Thompson is 41.8% vs left-shot opponents (567).
Home / Away
Lowry
Thompson
Home
54.3% (429)
45.7% (411)
Away
53.5% (385)
43.4% (378)
By Period
Lowry
Thompson
P1
53.1%
47.7%
P2
55.2%
45.7%
P3
54.4%
40.5%
OT
40.0%
42.9%
Final 5 min
57.1%
42.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
52.0%▼
53.5%
53.9%
Thompson
36.0%▼
40.0%
44.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 1, 2025 | 3 | 07:47 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |