Scouting Report
Adam Lowry holds a +12.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Lowry on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 51.6% vs Zegras 39.5% (+12.7%)
H2H factor
Lowry leads 13-11 in 24 meetings
Offensive zone
Zegras 68.3%
Defensive zone
Lowry 93.1%
Neutral zone
Lowry 78.0%
Result
Adam Lowry favored at 70.9%
70.9%
29.1%
Lowry
Zegras
Head-to-Head Record
13
-
11
(24 meetings)
13
11
Lowry
Zegras
Last 10: Lowry 5-5 Zegras
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
4
1
Lowry
Zegras
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Zegras
1
3
Lowry
Zegras
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lowry
8
7
Lowry
Zegras
15 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Zegras
Edge
Even Strength
52.9% (9,162)
39.0% (1,703)
+13.9%
Power Play
57.2% (456)
38.5% (148)
+18.7%
Penalty Kill
44.8% (2,150)
25.0% (8)
+19.8%
On penalty kill, Lowry has a +19.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zegras shoots left. Lowry is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (7,758).
Lowry shoots left. Zegras is 39.1% vs left-shot opponents (1,252).
Home / Away
Lowry
Zegras
Home
53.5% (5,920)
40.5% (908)
Away
49.6% (5,848)
37.3% (951)
By Period
Lowry
Zegras
P1
51.6%
40.0%
P2
51.7%
38.6%
P3
51.5%
38.2%
OT
46.3%
31.6%
Final 5 min
52.8%
40.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
52.0%▼
53.5%
51.6%
Zegras
42.0%▲
28.0%
38.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 23, 2023 | 1 | 09:21 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 4, 2022 | 3 | 15:12 | Neutral | Trevor Zegras |
| Dec 4, 2022 | 3 | 14:23 | Neutral | Trevor Zegras |
| Dec 4, 2022 | 2 | 13:28 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 17, 2022 | 3 | 17:42 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 17, 2022 | 3 | 14:15 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 17, 2022 | 3 | 05:54 | Neutral | Trevor Zegras |
| Nov 17, 2022 | 3 | 00:20 | Defensive | Trevor Zegras |
| Nov 17, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 17, 2022 | 2 | 16:24 | Defensive | Trevor Zegras |
| Nov 17, 2022 | 2 | 12:32 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 17, 2022 | 2 | 10:01 | Defensive | Trevor Zegras |
| Nov 17, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 17, 2022 | 1 | 17:53 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 17, 2022 | 1 | 14:26 | Offensive | Trevor Zegras |
| Nov 17, 2022 | 1 | 04:42 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 17, 2022 | 1 | 01:58 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 17, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Trevor Zegras |
| Oct 26, 2021 | 3 | 18:40 | Neutral | Trevor Zegras |
| Oct 26, 2021 | 2 | 19:16 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |