Scouting Report
Tyler Bozak holds a +1.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Bozak on offensive-zone draws (77% H2H, 26 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 51.6% vs Bozak 53.4% (-1.9%)
H2H factor
Bozak leads 37-29 in 66 meetings
Offensive zone
Bozak 57.7%
Defensive zone
Lowry 79.8%
Neutral zone
Lowry 59.1%
Result
Adam Lowry favored at 57.5%
57.5%
42.5%
Lowry
Bozak
Head-to-Head Record
29
-
37
(66 meetings)
29
37
Lowry
Bozak
Last 10: Lowry 6-4 Bozak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bozak
6
20
Lowry
Bozak
26 total
Defensive Zone
Even
8
8
Lowry
Bozak
16 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lowry
15
9
Lowry
Bozak
24 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Bozak
Edge
Even Strength
52.9% (9,162)
53.7% (9,596)
-0.8%
Power Play
57.2% (456)
55.2% (1,990)
+2.0%
Penalty Kill
44.8% (2,150)
48.0% (1,094)
-3.2%
On penalty kill, Bozak has a +3.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bozak shoots right. Lowry is 52.2% vs right-shot opponents (4,010).
Lowry shoots left. Bozak is 52.2% vs left-shot opponents (8,417).
Home / Away
Lowry
Bozak
Home
53.5% (5,920)
56.0% (6,333)
Away
49.6% (5,848)
51.0% (6,396)
By Period
Lowry
Bozak
P1
51.6%
53.2%
P2
51.7%
52.8%
P3
51.5%
54.5%
OT
46.3%
52.9%
Final 5 min
52.8%
53.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
52.0%▼
53.5%
51.6%
Bozak
46.0%▼
48.5%
53.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 13, 2022 | 3 | 06:30 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 13, 2022 | 2 | 09:18 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Jan 29, 2022 | 2 | 08:26 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Jan 29, 2022 | 2 | 07:57 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Dec 19, 2021 | 2 | 16:47 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 19, 2021 | 1 | 05:29 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 19, 2021 | 1 | 02:59 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 9, 2021 | 3 | 00:56 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 29, 2019 | 2 | 04:53 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Dec 29, 2019 | 2 | 01:37 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Dec 29, 2019 | 1 | 01:34 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 27, 2019 | 2 | 02:08 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 27, 2019 | 1 | 14:02 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Dec 27, 2019 | 1 | 13:43 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Dec 7, 2018 | 3 | 08:48 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Dec 7, 2018 | 2 | 16:30 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 24, 2018 | 2 | 16:02 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Nov 24, 2018 | 1 | 17:50 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Nov 24, 2018 | 1 | 04:29 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Nov 24, 2018 | 1 | 04:24 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |