Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (53.9% vs 53.6%). Lowry wins 60.9% vs right-shot opponents — Seguin shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 53.5% vs Seguin 52.5% (+0.3%)
Offensive zone
Seguin 64.7%
Defensive zone
Lowry 61.3%
Neutral zone
Lowry 56.7%
Result
Adam Lowry favored at 51.1%
51.1%
48.9%
Lowry
Seguin
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
55.7% (707)
53.2% (201)
+2.5%
Power Play
85.7% (7)
60.0% (25)
+25.7%
Penalty Kill
39.0% (100)
44.4% (9)
-5.4%
On power play, Lowry has a +25.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Lowry is 60.9% vs right-shot opponents (253).
Lowry shoots left. Seguin is 52.9% vs left-shot opponents (187).
Home / Away
Lowry
Seguin
Home
54.3% (429)
56.3% (126)
Away
53.5% (385)
50.5% (109)
By Period
Lowry
Seguin
P1
53.1%
44.3%
P2
55.2%
52.1%
P3
54.4%
62.5%
OT
40.0%
80.0%
Final 5 min
57.1%
50.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
52.0%▼
53.5%
53.9%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
53.6%