Scouting Report
Adam Lowry holds a +1.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Rask on neutral-zone draws (78% H2H, 9 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 51.6% vs Rask 50.1% (+1.5%)
H2H factor
Rask leads 11-5 in 16 meetings
Offensive zone
Rask 82.8%
Defensive zone
Lowry 73.2%
Neutral zone
Rask 62.8%
Result
Victor Rask favored at 57.5%
42.5%
57.5%
Lowry
Rask
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
11
(16 meetings)
5
11
Lowry
Rask
Last 10: Lowry 4-6 Rask
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Rask
1
2
Lowry
Rask
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Lowry
Rask
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Rask
2
7
Lowry
Rask
9 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Rask
Edge
Even Strength
52.9% (9,162)
50.0% (4,428)
+2.9%
Power Play
57.2% (456)
54.3% (363)
+2.9%
Penalty Kill
44.8% (2,150)
35.2% (54)
+9.6%
On penalty kill, Lowry has a +9.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Rask shoots left. Lowry is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (7,758).
Lowry shoots left. Rask is 52.1% vs left-shot opponents (3,102).
Home / Away
Lowry
Rask
Home
53.5% (5,920)
52.0% (2,380)
Away
49.6% (5,848)
48.3% (2,465)
By Period
Lowry
Rask
P1
51.6%
50.7%
P2
51.7%
48.9%
P3
51.5%
50.7%
OT
46.3%
52.1%
Final 5 min
52.8%
48.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
52.0%▼
53.5%
51.6%
Rask
60.0%▲
49.5%
50.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 4, 2020 | 2 | 02:07 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Jan 4, 2020 | 1 | 17:26 | Offensive | Victor Rask |
| Apr 2, 2019 | 2 | 16:13 | Neutral | Victor Rask |
| Apr 2, 2019 | 1 | 06:50 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 20, 2016 | 2 | 19:20 | Offensive | Victor Rask |
| Oct 13, 2016 | 3 | 18:31 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Oct 13, 2016 | 3 | 13:33 | Neutral | Victor Rask |
| Oct 13, 2016 | 3 | 00:28 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Feb 16, 2016 | 2 | 16:02 | Neutral | Victor Rask |
| Feb 16, 2016 | 2 | 19:46 | Defensive | Victor Rask |
| Feb 16, 2016 | 2 | 06:05 | Neutral | Victor Rask |
| Feb 16, 2016 | 1 | 11:53 | Neutral | Victor Rask |
| Feb 16, 2016 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Victor Rask |
| Feb 5, 2016 | 2 | 12:33 | Defensive | Victor Rask |
| Nov 13, 2014 | 2 | 12:10 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Oct 21, 2014 | 2 | 17:24 | Neutral | Victor Rask |