Scouting Report
Vincent Trocheck holds a +3.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Lowry on offensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). Lowry wins 60.9% vs right-shot opponents — Trocheck shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 53.5% vs Trocheck 56.2% (-3.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Trocheck 88.8%
Defensive zone
Trocheck 56.8%
Neutral zone
Trocheck 59.5%
Result
Vincent Trocheck favored at 78.7%
21.3%
78.7%
Lowry
Trocheck
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
2
(9 meetings)
7
2
Lowry
Trocheck
Last 9: Lowry 7-2 Trocheck
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
5
1
Lowry
Trocheck
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Trocheck
0
1
Lowry
Trocheck
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lowry
2
0
Lowry
Trocheck
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Trocheck
Edge
Even Strength
55.7% (707)
58.0% (666)
-2.3%
Power Play
85.7% (7)
64.8% (165)
+20.9%
Penalty Kill
39.0% (100)
43.4% (152)
-4.4%
On power play, Lowry has a +20.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Trocheck shoots right. Lowry is 60.9% vs right-shot opponents (253).
Lowry shoots left. Trocheck is 57.5% vs left-shot opponents (661).
Home / Away
Lowry
Trocheck
Home
54.3% (429)
55.3% (436)
Away
53.5% (385)
58.1% (547)
By Period
Lowry
Trocheck
P1
53.1%
56.4%
P2
55.2%
58.7%
P3
54.4%
55.5%
OT
40.0%
57.1%
Final 5 min
57.1%
55.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
52.0%▼
53.5%
53.9%
Trocheck
62.0%▲
55.5%
56.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 2026 | 3 | 11:47 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 12, 2026 | 3 | 10:23 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 12, 2026 | 3 | 06:57 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 12, 2026 | 3 | 03:55 | Defensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Mar 12, 2026 | 3 | 00:58 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Mar 12, 2026 | 3 | 00:39 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 12, 2026 | 2 | 18:34 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 12, 2026 | 2 | 10:51 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 12, 2026 | 1 | 01:08 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |