Scouting Report
Vincent Trocheck holds a +2.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Trocheck on offensive-zone draws (73% H2H, 40 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 51.6% vs Trocheck 54.2% (-2.6%)
H2H factor
Trocheck leads 54-41 in 95 meetings
Offensive zone
Trocheck 51.9%
Defensive zone
Lowry 83.2%
Neutral zone
Lowry 63.8%
Result
Adam Lowry favored at 62.1%
62.1%
37.9%
Lowry
Trocheck
Head-to-Head Record
41
-
54
(95 meetings)
41
54
Lowry
Trocheck
Last 10: Lowry 8-2 Trocheck
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Trocheck
11
29
Lowry
Trocheck
40 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
15
9
Lowry
Trocheck
24 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Trocheck
15
16
Lowry
Trocheck
31 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Trocheck
Edge
Even Strength
52.9% (9,162)
53.7% (10,944)
-0.8%
Power Play
57.2% (456)
60.9% (1,870)
-3.7%
Penalty Kill
44.8% (2,150)
49.5% (1,472)
-4.7%
On penalty kill, Trocheck has a +4.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Trocheck shoots right. Lowry is 52.2% vs right-shot opponents (4,010).
Lowry shoots left. Trocheck is 55.0% vs left-shot opponents (9,918).
Home / Away
Lowry
Trocheck
Home
53.5% (5,920)
56.3% (7,160)
Away
49.6% (5,848)
52.2% (7,126)
By Period
Lowry
Trocheck
P1
51.6%
54.1%
P2
51.7%
54.7%
P3
51.5%
54.0%
OT
46.3%
52.1%
Final 5 min
52.8%
55.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
52.0%▼
53.5%
51.6%
Trocheck
62.0%▲
55.5%
54.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 2026 | 3 | 11:47 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 12, 2026 | 3 | 10:23 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 12, 2026 | 3 | 06:57 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 12, 2026 | 3 | 03:55 | Defensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Mar 12, 2026 | 3 | 00:58 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Mar 12, 2026 | 3 | 00:39 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 12, 2026 | 2 | 18:34 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 12, 2026 | 2 | 10:51 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 12, 2026 | 1 | 01:08 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 11, 2025 | 3 | 18:38 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 11, 2025 | 3 | 12:29 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Mar 11, 2025 | 3 | 05:40 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Mar 11, 2025 | 2 | 07:55 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 11, 2025 | 2 | 07:48 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 11, 2025 | 1 | 06:21 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 12, 2024 | 3 | 13:52 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 12, 2024 | 3 | 05:17 | Defensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Nov 12, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Vincent Trocheck |
| Nov 12, 2024 | 2 | 19:52 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Nov 12, 2024 | 2 | 19:43 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |