Scouting Report
Adam Lowry holds a +1.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Nylander on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 51.6% vs Nylander 49.9% (+1.7%)
H2H factor
Nylander leads 6-4 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Nylander 86.7%
Defensive zone
Lowry 79.0%
Neutral zone
Nylander 55.2%
Result
William Nylander favored at 67.3%
32.7%
67.3%
Lowry
Nylander
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
6
(10 meetings)
4
6
Lowry
Nylander
Last 10: Lowry 4-6 Nylander
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nylander
0
6
Lowry
Nylander
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
2
0
Lowry
Nylander
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lowry
2
0
Lowry
Nylander
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Nylander
Edge
Even Strength
52.9% (9,162)
50.2% (1,874)
+2.7%
Power Play
57.2% (456)
46.7% (229)
+10.5%
Penalty Kill
44.8% (2,150)
54.8% (31)
-10.0%
On power play, Lowry has a +10.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nylander shoots right. Lowry is 52.2% vs right-shot opponents (4,010).
Lowry shoots left. Nylander is 50.1% vs left-shot opponents (1,523).
Home / Away
Lowry
Nylander
Home
53.5% (5,920)
51.3% (1,186)
Away
49.6% (5,848)
48.1% (948)
By Period
Lowry
Nylander
P1
51.6%
51.1%
P2
51.7%
45.6%
P3
51.5%
53.1%
OT
46.3%
50.0%
Final 5 min
52.8%
46.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
52.0%▼
53.5%
51.6%
Nylander
30.0%▼
42.5%
49.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 23, 2024 | 1 | 16:04 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Jan 27, 2024 | 1 | 00:24 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 9, 2021 | 3 | 18:06 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Jan 18, 2021 | 2 | 11:22 | Offensive | William Nylander |
| Mar 31, 2018 | 3 | 18:46 | Offensive | William Nylander |
| Mar 31, 2018 | 3 | 11:43 | Offensive | William Nylander |
| Mar 31, 2018 | 3 | 09:48 | Offensive | William Nylander |
| Mar 31, 2018 | 2 | 00:25 | Offensive | William Nylander |
| Oct 4, 2017 | 3 | 06:37 | Offensive | William Nylander |
| Oct 19, 2016 | 3 | 19:44 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |