Scouting Report
Adam Ruzicka holds a +5.4% FO% edge overall. Ruzicka wins 44.6% vs right-shot opponents — Kolesar shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ruzicka 47.4% vs Kolesar 43.3% (+5.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Ruzicka 71.9%
Defensive zone
Ruzicka 78.6%
Neutral zone
Ruzicka 61.8%
Result
Adam Ruzicka favored at 70.8%
70.8%
29.2%
Ruzicka
Kolesar
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
Ruzicka
Kolesar
Last 6: Ruzicka 5-1 Kolesar
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Ruzicka
2
0
Ruzicka
Kolesar
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Ruzicka
2
0
Ruzicka
Kolesar
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Ruzicka
Kolesar
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ruzicka
Kolesar
Edge
Even Strength
46.6% (580)
41.8% (383)
+4.8%
Power Play
55.2% (29)
50.0% (6)
+5.2%
On power play, Ruzicka has a +5.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kolesar shoots right. Ruzicka is 44.6% vs right-shot opponents (240).
Ruzicka shoots left. Kolesar is 39.0% vs left-shot opponents (300).
Home / Away
Ruzicka
Kolesar
Home
44.9% (294)
38.0% (192)
Away
48.9% (315)
44.9% (214)
By Period
Ruzicka
Kolesar
P1
46.0%
42.1%
P2
49.1%
43.2%
P3
45.2%
38.9%
Final 5 min
45.5%
42.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ruzicka
44.0%▼
47.5%
47.0%
Kolesar
38.0%▬
38.0%
41.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 13, 2024 | 2 | 17:09 | Neutral | Keegan Kolesar |
| Dec 5, 2021 | 2 | 17:09 | Neutral | Adam Ruzicka |
| Dec 5, 2021 | 2 | 13:41 | Offensive | Adam Ruzicka |
| Dec 5, 2021 | 2 | 03:19 | Defensive | Adam Ruzicka |
| Dec 5, 2021 | 1 | 16:14 | Offensive | Adam Ruzicka |
| Dec 5, 2021 | 1 | 01:58 | Defensive | Adam Ruzicka |