Scouting Report
Morgan Frost holds a +3.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Frost on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ruzicka 47.4% vs Frost 50.6% (-3.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Ruzicka 56.7%
Defensive zone
Ruzicka 75.1%
Neutral zone
Ruzicka 62.8%
Result
Adam Ruzicka favored at 61.3%
61.3%
38.7%
Ruzicka
Frost
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
5
(8 meetings)
3
5
Ruzicka
Frost
Last 8: Ruzicka 3-5 Frost
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Frost
1
3
Ruzicka
Frost
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Ruzicka
1
0
Ruzicka
Frost
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Frost
1
2
Ruzicka
Frost
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ruzicka
Frost
Edge
Even Strength
46.6% (580)
49.7% (3,652)
-3.1%
Power Play
55.2% (29)
55.4% (632)
-0.2%
On even strength, Frost has a +3.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Frost shoots left. Ruzicka is 48.5% vs left-shot opponents (369).
Ruzicka shoots left. Frost is 51.0% vs left-shot opponents (2,843).
Home / Away
Ruzicka
Frost
Home
44.9% (294)
51.4% (2,101)
Away
48.9% (315)
49.8% (2,223)
By Period
Ruzicka
Frost
P1
46.0%
51.2%
P2
49.1%
51.3%
P3
45.2%
48.8%
Final 5 min
45.5%
49.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ruzicka
44.0%▼
47.5%
47.0%
Frost
68.0%▲
63.0%
50.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 12, 2024 | 3 | 19:53 | Neutral | Morgan Frost |
| Feb 12, 2024 | 2 | 07:57 | Neutral | Adam Ruzicka |
| Feb 12, 2024 | 1 | 19:48 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Feb 12, 2024 | 1 | 13:19 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Feb 12, 2024 | 1 | 07:13 | Defensive | Adam Ruzicka |
| Feb 20, 2023 | 2 | 15:12 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Feb 20, 2023 | 2 | 11:41 | Offensive | Adam Ruzicka |
| Feb 20, 2023 | 2 | 11:31 | Neutral | Morgan Frost |