Scouting Report
Sam Carrick holds a +6.4% FO% edge overall. Ruzicka wins 42.5% vs right-shot opponents — Carrick shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ruzicka 48.1% vs Carrick 53.0% (-6.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Ruzicka 76.2%
Defensive zone
Carrick 64.1%
Neutral zone
Ruzicka 53.5%
Result
Sam Carrick favored at 64.1%
35.9%
64.1%
Ruzicka
Carrick
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Ruzicka
Carrick
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carrick
0
1
Ruzicka
Carrick
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ruzicka
Carrick
Edge
Even Strength
46.2% (173)
53.9% (521)
-7.7%
Power Play
60.0% (10)
57.1% (35)
+2.9%
On even strength, Carrick has a +7.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carrick shoots right. Ruzicka is 42.5% vs right-shot opponents (80).
Ruzicka shoots left. Carrick is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (562).
Home / Away
Ruzicka
Carrick
Home
39.3% (84)
52.7% (408)
Away
53.5% (99)
54.1% (377)
By Period
Ruzicka
Carrick
P1
45.8%
51.4%
P2
47.9%
56.6%
P3
47.5%
52.1%
Final 5 min
38.6%
57.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ruzicka
44.0%▼
47.5%
47.0%
Carrick
56.0%▬
55.5%
53.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 21, 2023 | 1 | 16:45 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |