Adrian Kempe vs Alexis Lafrenière
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Adrian Kempe holds a +9.2% FO% edge overall. Kempe wins 44.0% vs left-shot opponents — Lafrenière shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kempe 41.6% vs Lafrenière 44.0% (+9.2%)
Offensive zone
Kempe 62.8%
Defensive zone
Lafrenière 52.2%
Neutral zone
Kempe 50.2%
Result
Adrian Kempe favored at 53.6%
53.6%
46.4%
Kempe
Lafrenière
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kempe
Lafrenière
Edge
Even Strength
37.9% (103)
27.3% (33)
+10.6%
Power Play
30.6% (36)
0.0% (1)
+30.6%
On power play, Kempe has a +30.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lafrenière shoots left. Kempe is 44.0% vs left-shot opponents (84).
Kempe shoots left. Lafrenière is 32.1% vs left-shot opponents (28).
Home / Away
Kempe
Lafrenière
Home
35.8% (67)
6.7% (15)
Away
35.5% (76)
42.1% (19)
By Period
Kempe
Lafrenière
P1
36.5%
30.0%
P2
36.7%
14.3%
P3
31.4%
28.6%
Final 5 min
40.0%
25.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kempe
26.0%▼
35.5%
35.7%
Lafrenière
24.0%▼
29.5%
26.5%