Scouting Report
Brayden Schenn holds a +17.9% FO% edge overall. Kempe wins 44.0% vs left-shot opponents — Schenn shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kempe 41.6% vs Schenn 53.2% (-17.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kempe 53.6%
Defensive zone
Schenn 66.7%
Neutral zone
Schenn 60.4%
Result
Brayden Schenn favored at 56.5%
43.5%
56.5%
Kempe
Schenn
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Kempe
Schenn
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kempe
1
0
Kempe
Schenn
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Schenn
0
1
Kempe
Schenn
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kempe
Schenn
Edge
Even Strength
37.9% (103)
51.5% (656)
-13.6%
Power Play
30.6% (36)
63.6% (107)
-33.0%
Penalty Kill
25.0% (4)
66.7% (24)
-41.7%
On penalty kill, Schenn has a +41.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Schenn shoots left. Kempe is 44.0% vs left-shot opponents (84).
Kempe shoots left. Schenn is 50.7% vs left-shot opponents (495).
Home / Away
Kempe
Schenn
Home
35.8% (67)
53.9% (412)
Away
35.5% (76)
53.3% (375)
By Period
Kempe
Schenn
P1
36.5%
49.6%
P2
36.7%
52.0%
P3
31.4%
58.1%
OT
42.9%
50.0%
Final 5 min
40.0%
54.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kempe
26.0%▼
35.5%
35.7%
Schenn
52.0%▬
52.5%
53.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 21, 2025 | 2 | 01:11 | Defensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Oct 21, 2025 | 1 | 12:43 | Offensive | Adrian Kempe |