Scouting Report
Brett Howden holds a +8.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Howden on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Kempe wins 39.7% vs left-shot opponents — Howden shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kempe 40.9% vs Howden 48.9% (-8.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kempe 86.6%
Defensive zone
Kempe 60.6%
Neutral zone
Kempe 74.0%
Result
Adrian Kempe favored at 73.8%
73.8%
26.2%
Kempe
Howden
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Kempe
Howden
Last 7: Kempe 2-5 Howden
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Kempe
Howden
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Kempe
Howden
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Howden
0
3
Kempe
Howden
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kempe
Howden
Edge
Even Strength
40.2% (1,882)
49.5% (2,926)
-9.3%
Power Play
43.1% (211)
50.5% (111)
-7.4%
Penalty Kill
42.6% (54)
43.1% (320)
-0.5%
On even strength, Howden has a +9.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Howden shoots left. Kempe is 39.7% vs left-shot opponents (1,356).
Kempe shoots left. Howden is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (2,170).
Home / Away
Kempe
Howden
Home
42.4% (1,046)
48.2% (1,630)
Away
38.8% (1,101)
49.6% (1,727)
By Period
Kempe
Howden
P1
39.4%
49.5%
P2
40.1%
47.9%
P3
42.2%
49.8%
OT
37.0%
35.5%
Final 5 min
37.2%
48.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kempe
26.0%▼
35.5%
40.5%
Howden
46.0%▬
45.0%
48.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 28, 2018 | 3 | 10:45 | Defensive | Adrian Kempe |
| Oct 28, 2018 | 3 | 10:28 | Neutral | Brett Howden |
| Oct 28, 2018 | 2 | 13:14 | Neutral | Brett Howden |
| Oct 28, 2018 | 2 | 07:25 | Defensive | Brett Howden |
| Oct 28, 2018 | 2 | 01:39 | Offensive | Adrian Kempe |
| Oct 28, 2018 | 1 | 13:49 | Neutral | Brett Howden |
| Oct 28, 2018 | 1 | 10:46 | Offensive | Brett Howden |