Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (35.7% vs 36.5%). Kempe wins 23.7% vs right-shot opponents — Ritchie shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kempe 41.6% vs Ritchie 39.8% (-0.8%)
Offensive zone
Kempe 52.5%
Defensive zone
Ritchie 59.7%
Neutral zone
Ritchie 54.0%
Result
Calum Ritchie favored at 53.7%
46.3%
53.7%
Kempe
Ritchie
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kempe
Ritchie
Edge
Even Strength
37.9% (103)
36.1% (296)
+1.8%
Power Play
30.6% (36)
45.5% (11)
-14.9%
On power play, Ritchie has a +14.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ritchie shoots right. Kempe is 23.7% vs right-shot opponents (59).
Kempe shoots left. Ritchie is 34.9% vs left-shot opponents (195).
Home / Away
Kempe
Ritchie
Home
35.8% (67)
37.7% (162)
Away
35.5% (76)
35.2% (145)
By Period
Kempe
Ritchie
P1
36.5%
33.3%
P2
36.7%
38.3%
P3
31.4%
37.6%
Final 5 min
40.0%
38.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kempe
26.0%▼
35.5%
35.7%
Ritchie
34.0%▲
32.0%
36.5%