Scouting Report
Charlie Coyle holds a +14.8% FO% edge overall. Kempe wins 23.7% vs right-shot opponents — Coyle shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kempe 41.6% vs Coyle 50.5% (-14.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kempe 79.2%
Defensive zone
Coyle 77.9%
Neutral zone
Kempe 53.6%
Result
Charlie Coyle favored at 77.9%
22.1%
77.9%
Kempe
Coyle
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Kempe
Coyle
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Coyle
0
1
Kempe
Coyle
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kempe
Coyle
Edge
Even Strength
37.9% (103)
52.3% (853)
-14.4%
Power Play
30.6% (36)
44.4% (63)
-13.8%
Penalty Kill
25.0% (4)
44.5% (191)
-19.5%
On penalty kill, Coyle has a +19.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Coyle shoots right. Kempe is 23.7% vs right-shot opponents (59).
Kempe shoots left. Coyle is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (833).
Home / Away
Kempe
Coyle
Home
35.8% (67)
49.0% (567)
Away
35.5% (76)
52.0% (540)
By Period
Kempe
Coyle
P1
36.5%
49.5%
P2
36.7%
49.4%
P3
31.4%
52.6%
OT
42.9%
46.2%
Final 5 min
40.0%
49.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kempe
26.0%▼
35.5%
35.7%
Coyle
50.0%▼
51.5%
50.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 9, 2026 | 2 | 10:11 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |