Scouting Report
Christian Dvorak holds a +17.9% FO% edge overall. Kempe wins 44.0% vs left-shot opponents — Dvorak shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kempe 41.6% vs Dvorak 53.3% (-17.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kempe 73.8%
Defensive zone
Dvorak 52.3%
Neutral zone
Kempe 67.0%
Result
Adrian Kempe favored at 60.6%
60.6%
39.4%
Kempe
Dvorak
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Kempe
Dvorak
Last 6: Kempe 2-4 Dvorak
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dvorak
0
2
Kempe
Dvorak
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Kempe
Dvorak
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kempe
Dvorak
Edge
Even Strength
37.9% (103)
54.2% (804)
-16.3%
Power Play
30.6% (36)
54.2% (131)
-23.6%
Penalty Kill
25.0% (4)
46.4% (84)
-21.4%
On power play, Dvorak has a +23.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dvorak shoots left. Kempe is 44.0% vs left-shot opponents (84).
Kempe shoots left. Dvorak is 54.8% vs left-shot opponents (660).
Home / Away
Kempe
Dvorak
Home
35.8% (67)
53.9% (497)
Away
35.5% (76)
53.3% (522)
By Period
Kempe
Dvorak
P1
36.5%
54.6%
P2
36.7%
53.2%
P3
31.4%
54.3%
OT
42.9%
34.8%
Final 5 min
40.0%
46.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kempe
26.0%▼
35.5%
35.7%
Dvorak
60.0%▲
53.5%
53.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 31, 2026 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Adrian Kempe |
| Jan 31, 2026 | 3 | 17:55 | Neutral | Adrian Kempe |
| Jan 31, 2026 | 3 | 17:35 | Neutral | Christian Dvorak |
| Jan 31, 2026 | 2 | 12:10 | Neutral | Christian Dvorak |
| Jan 31, 2026 | 1 | 12:33 | Defensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Jan 31, 2026 | 1 | 02:50 | Defensive | Christian Dvorak |