Scouting Report
Claude Giroux holds a +16.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Kempe on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Kempe wins 41.8% vs right-shot opponents — Giroux shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kempe 40.9% vs Giroux 56.9% (-16.4%)
H2H factor
Kempe leads 7-3 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Giroux 90.2%
Defensive zone
Giroux 96.8%
Neutral zone
Giroux 95.9%
Result
Claude Giroux favored at 94.5%
5.5%
94.5%
Kempe
Giroux
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
3
(10 meetings)
7
3
Kempe
Giroux
Last 10: Kempe 7-3 Giroux
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kempe
3
0
Kempe
Giroux
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Giroux
1
2
Kempe
Giroux
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kempe
3
1
Kempe
Giroux
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kempe
Giroux
Edge
Even Strength
40.2% (1,882)
55.8% (13,886)
-15.6%
Power Play
43.1% (211)
60.5% (4,081)
-17.4%
Penalty Kill
42.6% (54)
57.5% (2,528)
-14.9%
On power play, Giroux has a +17.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Giroux shoots right. Kempe is 41.8% vs right-shot opponents (791).
Kempe shoots left. Giroux is 57.7% vs left-shot opponents (14,401).
Home / Away
Kempe
Giroux
Home
42.4% (1,046)
59.2% (10,265)
Away
38.8% (1,101)
54.6% (10,270)
By Period
Kempe
Giroux
P1
39.4%
57.5%
P2
40.1%
56.2%
P3
42.2%
57.3%
OT
37.0%
51.5%
Final 5 min
37.2%
58.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kempe
26.0%▼
35.5%
40.5%
Giroux
70.0%▲
57.0%
56.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 14, 2024 | 3 | 05:07 | Neutral | Adrian Kempe |
| Dec 6, 2022 | 3 | 07:08 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |
| Feb 7, 2019 | OT | 02:37 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |
| Feb 7, 2019 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Adrian Kempe |
| Feb 7, 2019 | 2 | 01:06 | Offensive | Adrian Kempe |
| Feb 7, 2019 | 1 | 16:37 | Neutral | Claude Giroux |
| Feb 7, 2019 | 1 | 07:01 | Neutral | Adrian Kempe |
| Nov 1, 2018 | 1 | 19:11 | Offensive | Adrian Kempe |
| Nov 1, 2018 | 1 | 12:28 | Offensive | Adrian Kempe |
| Dec 18, 2017 | 1 | 04:36 | Defensive | Adrian Kempe |