Scouting Report
Colton Sissons holds a +21.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Sissons on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Kempe wins 23.7% vs right-shot opponents — Sissons shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kempe 41.6% vs Sissons 55.9% (-21.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kempe 89.9%
Defensive zone
Sissons 64.9%
Neutral zone
Kempe 70.0%
Result
Colton Sissons favored at 51.2%
48.8%
51.2%
Kempe
Sissons
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
3
(4 meetings)
1
3
Kempe
Sissons
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kempe
1
0
Kempe
Sissons
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Sissons
0
3
Kempe
Sissons
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kempe
Sissons
Edge
Even Strength
37.9% (103)
57.9% (439)
-20.0%
Power Play
30.6% (36)
61.9% (21)
-31.3%
Penalty Kill
25.0% (4)
52.8% (123)
-27.8%
On power play, Sissons has a +31.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sissons shoots right. Kempe is 23.7% vs right-shot opponents (59).
Kempe shoots left. Sissons is 55.0% vs left-shot opponents (411).
Home / Away
Kempe
Sissons
Home
35.8% (67)
53.6% (278)
Away
35.5% (76)
60.0% (305)
By Period
Kempe
Sissons
P1
36.5%
56.2%
P2
36.7%
58.3%
P3
31.4%
56.4%
OT
42.9%
0.0%
Final 5 min
40.0%
54.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kempe
26.0%▼
35.5%
35.7%
Sissons
64.0%▲
59.5%
56.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 25, 2026 | 2 | 15:18 | Offensive | Adrian Kempe |
| Feb 25, 2026 | 1 | 09:03 | Defensive | Colton Sissons |
| Jan 14, 2026 | 2 | 12:52 | Defensive | Colton Sissons |
| Jan 14, 2026 | 2 | 12:44 | Defensive | Colton Sissons |