Scouting Report
Connor Zary holds a +9.5% FO% edge overall. Kempe wins 44.0% vs left-shot opponents — Zary shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kempe 41.6% vs Zary 47.1% (-9.5%)
Offensive zone
Kempe 68.5%
Defensive zone
Zary 64.0%
Neutral zone
Zary 56.2%
Result
Connor Zary favored at 50.5%
49.5%
50.5%
Kempe
Zary
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kempe
Zary
Edge
Even Strength
37.9% (103)
47.1% (136)
-9.2%
Power Play
30.6% (36)
31.6% (19)
-1.0%
On even strength, Zary has a +9.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zary shoots left. Kempe is 44.0% vs left-shot opponents (84).
Kempe shoots left. Zary is 45.0% vs left-shot opponents (80).
Home / Away
Kempe
Zary
Home
35.8% (67)
45.6% (79)
Away
35.5% (76)
44.7% (76)
By Period
Kempe
Zary
P1
36.5%
48.3%
P2
36.7%
46.3%
P3
31.4%
39.5%
Final 5 min
40.0%
47.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kempe
26.0%▼
35.5%
35.7%
Zary
50.0%▲
46.0%
45.2%