Scouting Report
Jack Eichel holds a +12.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Eichel on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Kempe wins 23.7% vs right-shot opponents — Eichel shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kempe 41.6% vs Eichel 48.2% (-12.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kempe 76.7%
Defensive zone
Kempe 60.4%
Neutral zone
Kempe 65.9%
Result
Adrian Kempe favored at 63.5%
63.5%
36.5%
Kempe
Eichel
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Kempe
Eichel
Last 7: Kempe 2-5 Eichel
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kempe
1
0
Kempe
Eichel
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Eichel
1
4
Kempe
Eichel
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Eichel
0
1
Kempe
Eichel
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kempe
Eichel
Edge
Even Strength
37.9% (103)
48.2% (909)
-10.3%
Power Play
30.6% (36)
55.2% (67)
-24.6%
Penalty Kill
25.0% (4)
41.2% (97)
-16.2%
On power play, Eichel has a +24.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Eichel shoots right. Kempe is 23.7% vs right-shot opponents (59).
Kempe shoots left. Eichel is 47.2% vs left-shot opponents (761).
Home / Away
Kempe
Eichel
Home
35.8% (67)
48.0% (564)
Away
35.5% (76)
47.9% (509)
By Period
Kempe
Eichel
P1
36.5%
49.8%
P2
36.7%
48.6%
P3
31.4%
46.7%
OT
42.9%
37.5%
Final 5 min
40.0%
54.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kempe
26.0%▼
35.5%
35.7%
Eichel
50.0%▬
50.0%
48.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 5, 2026 | 2 | 18:03 | Defensive | Jack Eichel |
| Feb 5, 2026 | 1 | 16:35 | Defensive | Jack Eichel |
| Feb 5, 2026 | 1 | 08:45 | Defensive | Jack Eichel |
| Feb 5, 2026 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jack Eichel |
| Jan 14, 2026 | 2 | 11:22 | Offensive | Adrian Kempe |
| Jan 14, 2026 | 2 | 08:11 | Defensive | Adrian Kempe |
| Jan 14, 2026 | 1 | 09:34 | Defensive | Jack Eichel |