Scouting Report
Adrian Kempe holds a +4.4% FO% edge overall. Kempe wins 39.7% vs left-shot opponents — Hughes shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kempe 40.9% vs Hughes 36.5% (+4.4%)
Offensive zone
Hughes 56.7%
Defensive zone
Kempe 50.8%
Neutral zone
Hughes 52.0%
Result
Jack Hughes favored at 52.6%
47.4%
52.6%
Kempe
Hughes
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kempe
Hughes
Edge
Even Strength
40.2% (1,882)
36.0% (2,926)
+4.2%
Power Play
43.1% (211)
38.8% (224)
+4.3%
Penalty Kill
42.6% (54)
31.0% (42)
+11.6%
On penalty kill, Kempe has a +11.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hughes shoots left. Kempe is 39.7% vs left-shot opponents (1,356).
Kempe shoots left. Hughes is 34.8% vs left-shot opponents (1,948).
Home / Away
Kempe
Hughes
Home
42.4% (1,046)
36.8% (1,681)
Away
38.8% (1,101)
35.3% (1,511)
By Period
Kempe
Hughes
P1
39.4%
36.9%
P2
40.1%
33.4%
P3
42.2%
38.2%
OT
37.0%
37.5%
Final 5 min
37.2%
34.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kempe
26.0%▼
35.5%
40.5%
Hughes
38.0%▬
37.0%
36.1%