Adrian Kempe vs Jonathan Marchessault
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jonathan Marchessault holds a +2.1% FO% edge overall. Kempe wins 23.7% vs right-shot opponents — Marchessault shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kempe 41.6% vs Marchessault 46.7% (-2.1%)
Offensive zone
Kempe 54.9%
Defensive zone
Kempe 50.0%
Neutral zone
Marchessault 52.4%
Result
Adrian Kempe favored at 50.8%
50.8%
49.2%
Kempe
Marchessault
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kempe
Marchessault
Edge
Even Strength
37.9% (103)
35.3% (34)
+2.6%
Power Play
30.6% (36)
66.7% (3)
-36.1%
On power play, Marchessault has a +36.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Marchessault shoots right. Kempe is 23.7% vs right-shot opponents (59).
Kempe shoots left. Marchessault is 40.0% vs left-shot opponents (25).
Home / Away
Kempe
Marchessault
Home
35.8% (67)
40.0% (25)
Away
35.5% (76)
33.3% (12)
By Period
Kempe
Marchessault
P1
36.5%
50.0%
P2
36.7%
30.8%
P3
31.4%
22.2%
OT
42.9%
100.0%
Final 5 min
40.0%
12.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kempe
26.0%▼
35.5%
35.7%
Marchessault
36.0%▲
32.5%
37.8%