Scouting Report
Jonathan Toews holds a +25.9% FO% edge overall. Kempe wins 44.0% vs left-shot opponents — Toews shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kempe 41.6% vs Toews 60.4% (-25.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kempe 61.5%
Defensive zone
Toews 58.9%
Neutral zone
Toews 51.5%
Result
Jonathan Toews favored at 51.5%
48.5%
51.5%
Kempe
Toews
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Kempe
Toews
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Toews
0
1
Kempe
Toews
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kempe
Toews
Edge
Even Strength
37.9% (103)
62.6% (728)
-24.7%
Power Play
30.6% (36)
59.4% (143)
-28.8%
Penalty Kill
25.0% (4)
46.9% (32)
-21.9%
On power play, Toews has a +28.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Toews shoots left. Kempe is 44.0% vs left-shot opponents (84).
Kempe shoots left. Toews is 56.6% vs left-shot opponents (599).
Home / Away
Kempe
Toews
Home
35.8% (67)
61.1% (455)
Away
35.5% (76)
62.1% (448)
By Period
Kempe
Toews
P1
36.5%
59.7%
P2
36.7%
66.7%
P3
31.4%
58.4%
OT
42.9%
80.0%
Final 5 min
40.0%
58.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kempe
26.0%▼
35.5%
35.7%
Toews
62.0%▼
63.5%
61.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2025 | 3 | 05:19 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |