Scouting Report
Lars Eller holds a +20.2% FO% edge overall. Kempe wins 44.0% vs left-shot opponents — Eller shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kempe 41.6% vs Eller 55.0% (-20.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Eller 52.7%
Defensive zone
Eller 92.4%
Neutral zone
Eller 78.4%
Result
Lars Eller favored at 52.7%
47.3%
52.7%
Kempe
Eller
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Kempe
Eller
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kempe
1
0
Kempe
Eller
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kempe
Eller
Edge
Even Strength
37.9% (103)
56.0% (459)
-18.1%
Power Play
30.6% (36)
77.8% (9)
-47.2%
Penalty Kill
25.0% (4)
51.9% (54)
-26.9%
On power play, Eller has a +47.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Eller shoots left. Kempe is 44.0% vs left-shot opponents (84).
Kempe shoots left. Eller is 56.4% vs left-shot opponents (321).
Home / Away
Kempe
Eller
Home
35.8% (67)
52.6% (215)
Away
35.5% (76)
58.3% (307)
By Period
Kempe
Eller
P1
36.5%
54.1%
P2
36.7%
57.6%
P3
31.4%
56.2%
Final 5 min
40.0%
60.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kempe
26.0%▼
35.5%
35.7%
Eller
44.0%▼
51.5%
55.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 15, 2025 | 1 | 16:07 | Offensive | Adrian Kempe |