Scouting Report
Mathew Barzal holds a +4.6% FO% edge overall. Kempe wins 23.7% vs right-shot opponents — Barzal shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kempe 41.6% vs Barzal 41.9% (-4.6%)
Offensive zone
Kempe 58.9%
Defensive zone
Barzal 65.4%
Neutral zone
Barzal 56.0%
Result
Mathew Barzal favored at 54.2%
45.8%
54.2%
Kempe
Barzal
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kempe
Barzal
Edge
Even Strength
37.9% (103)
40.9% (469)
-3.0%
Power Play
30.6% (36)
34.2% (38)
-3.6%
Penalty Kill
25.0% (4)
28.6% (7)
-3.6%
On power play, Barzal has a +3.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Barzal shoots right. Kempe is 23.7% vs right-shot opponents (59).
Kempe shoots left. Barzal is 39.4% vs left-shot opponents (398).
Home / Away
Kempe
Barzal
Home
35.8% (67)
39.2% (250)
Away
35.5% (76)
41.3% (264)
By Period
Kempe
Barzal
P1
36.5%
46.3%
P2
36.7%
36.7%
P3
31.4%
38.5%
OT
42.9%
0.0%
Final 5 min
40.0%
41.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kempe
26.0%▼
35.5%
35.7%
Barzal
44.0%▬
45.0%
40.3%