Scouting Report
Mika Zibanejad holds a +16.3% FO% edge overall. Kempe wins 23.7% vs right-shot opponents — Zibanejad shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kempe 41.6% vs Zibanejad 51.8% (-16.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kempe 93.0%
Defensive zone
Kempe 82.1%
Neutral zone
Kempe 84.0%
Result
Adrian Kempe favored at 85.3%
85.3%
14.7%
Kempe
Zibanejad
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
4
(4 meetings)
0
4
Kempe
Zibanejad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
0
1
Kempe
Zibanejad
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
0
2
Kempe
Zibanejad
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
0
1
Kempe
Zibanejad
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kempe
Zibanejad
Edge
Even Strength
37.9% (103)
53.3% (807)
-15.4%
Power Play
30.6% (36)
47.6% (42)
-17.0%
Penalty Kill
25.0% (4)
46.3% (147)
-21.3%
On penalty kill, Zibanejad has a +21.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zibanejad shoots right. Kempe is 23.7% vs right-shot opponents (59).
Kempe shoots left. Zibanejad is 52.0% vs left-shot opponents (729).
Home / Away
Kempe
Zibanejad
Home
35.8% (67)
49.8% (466)
Away
35.5% (76)
54.0% (530)
By Period
Kempe
Zibanejad
P1
36.5%
52.9%
P2
36.7%
51.2%
P3
31.4%
51.7%
OT
42.9%
60.0%
Final 5 min
40.0%
57.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kempe
26.0%▼
35.5%
35.7%
Zibanejad
58.0%▲
53.0%
52.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 20, 2026 | 2 | 16:11 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Jan 20, 2026 | 2 | 12:56 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Jan 20, 2026 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Jan 20, 2026 | 1 | 06:03 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |