Scouting Report
Mikael Granlund holds a +13.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Kempe on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Kempe wins 44.0% vs left-shot opponents — Granlund shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kempe 41.6% vs Granlund 49.5% (-13.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Granlund 54.9%
Defensive zone
Granlund 82.7%
Neutral zone
Granlund 72.5%
Result
Mikael Granlund favored at 71.0%
29.0%
71.0%
Kempe
Granlund
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Kempe
Granlund
Last 5: Kempe 3-2 Granlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kempe
1
0
Kempe
Granlund
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Granlund
0
1
Kempe
Granlund
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kempe
2
1
Kempe
Granlund
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kempe
Granlund
Edge
Even Strength
37.9% (103)
49.7% (493)
-11.8%
Power Play
30.6% (36)
58.6% (111)
-28.0%
Penalty Kill
25.0% (4)
31.1% (61)
-6.1%
On power play, Granlund has a +28.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Granlund shoots left. Kempe is 44.0% vs left-shot opponents (84).
Kempe shoots left. Granlund is 48.8% vs left-shot opponents (445).
Home / Away
Kempe
Granlund
Home
35.8% (67)
54.7% (276)
Away
35.5% (76)
45.8% (389)
By Period
Kempe
Granlund
P1
36.5%
52.2%
P2
36.7%
49.3%
P3
31.4%
47.4%
OT
42.9%
45.5%
Final 5 min
40.0%
53.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kempe
26.0%▼
35.5%
35.7%
Granlund
62.0%▲
54.5%
49.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 17, 2026 | 3 | 11:51 | Neutral | Adrian Kempe |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 3 | 07:53 | Defensive | Mikael Granlund |
| Jan 16, 2026 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Mikael Granlund |
| Jan 16, 2026 | 2 | 02:47 | Offensive | Adrian Kempe |
| Jan 16, 2026 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Adrian Kempe |