Scouting Report
Nick Schmaltz holds a +10.5% FO% edge overall. Kempe wins 23.7% vs right-shot opponents — Schmaltz shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kempe 41.6% vs Schmaltz 46.6% (-10.5%)
Offensive zone
Schmaltz 56.3%
Defensive zone
Kempe 53.5%
Neutral zone
Schmaltz 56.5%
Result
Nick Schmaltz favored at 53.1%
46.9%
53.1%
Kempe
Schmaltz
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kempe
Schmaltz
Edge
Even Strength
37.9% (103)
45.9% (697)
-8.0%
Power Play
30.6% (36)
47.9% (117)
-17.3%
Penalty Kill
25.0% (4)
48.0% (25)
-23.0%
On penalty kill, Schmaltz has a +23.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Schmaltz shoots right. Kempe is 23.7% vs right-shot opponents (59).
Kempe shoots left. Schmaltz is 41.8% vs left-shot opponents (593).
Home / Away
Kempe
Schmaltz
Home
35.8% (67)
44.9% (434)
Away
35.5% (76)
47.7% (405)
By Period
Kempe
Schmaltz
P1
36.5%
41.5%
P2
36.7%
46.7%
P3
31.4%
51.1%
OT
42.9%
0.0%
Final 5 min
40.0%
40.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kempe
26.0%▼
35.5%
35.7%
Schmaltz
42.0%▼
46.0%
46.2%