Scouting Report
Paul Stastny holds a +14.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Stastny on defensive-zone draws (90% H2H, 10 meetings). Kempe wins 39.8% vs left-shot opponents — Stastny shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kempe 41.1% vs Stastny 55.1% (-14.4%)
H2H factor
Stastny leads 14-3 in 17 meetings
Offensive zone
Kempe 86.8%
Defensive zone
Kempe 89.5%
Neutral zone
Kempe 92.9%
Result
Adrian Kempe favored at 88.8%
88.8%
11.2%
Kempe
Stastny
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
14
(17 meetings)
3
14
Kempe
Stastny
Last 10: Kempe 2-8 Stastny
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
1
5
Kempe
Stastny
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
1
9
Kempe
Stastny
10 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kempe
1
0
Kempe
Stastny
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kempe
Stastny
Edge
Even Strength
40.3% (1,865)
54.6% (10,616)
-14.3%
Power Play
44.3% (201)
59.1% (1,994)
-14.8%
Penalty Kill
43.4% (53)
52.9% (1,119)
-9.5%
On power play, Stastny has a +14.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stastny shoots left. Kempe is 39.8% vs left-shot opponents (1,341).
Kempe shoots left. Stastny is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (8,871).
Home / Away
Kempe
Stastny
Home
42.6% (1,033)
55.9% (7,073)
Away
39.0% (1,086)
54.3% (6,705)
By Period
Kempe
Stastny
P1
39.7%
56.3%
P2
40.2%
55.4%
P3
42.4%
53.5%
OT
37.0%
62.9%
Final 5 min
37.2%
55.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kempe
32.0%▼
37.0%
40.7%
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
55.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2019 | 3 | 17:27 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Oct 13, 2019 | 2 | 19:47 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Apr 6, 2019 | 3 | 04:29 | Neutral | Adrian Kempe |
| Apr 6, 2019 | 2 | 00:41 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Apr 6, 2019 | 1 | 04:34 | Defensive | Adrian Kempe |
| Apr 6, 2019 | 1 | 00:31 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Jan 1, 2019 | 3 | 19:41 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Jan 1, 2019 | 2 | 10:02 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 20, 2018 | 1 | 19:28 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Dec 1, 2017 | 2 | 07:31 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Dec 1, 2017 | 2 | 04:11 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Oct 30, 2017 | 3 | 10:06 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Oct 30, 2017 | 1 | 00:20 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 13, 2017 | 3 | 11:31 | Offensive | Adrian Kempe |
| Mar 13, 2017 | 2 | 18:51 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 13, 2017 | 2 | 16:47 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 13, 2017 | 1 | 03:35 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |