Adrian Kempe vs Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins holds a +10.7% FO% edge overall. Kempe wins 44.0% vs left-shot opponents — Nugent-Hopkins shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kempe 41.6% vs Nugent-Hopkins 47.3% (-10.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kempe 65.8%
Defensive zone
Nugent-Hopkins 53.4%
Neutral zone
Kempe 54.6%
Result
Adrian Kempe favored at 54.6%
54.6%
45.4%
Kempe
Nugent-Hopkins
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Kempe
Nugent-Hopkins
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nugent-Hopkins
0
1
Kempe
Nugent-Hopkins
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kempe
Nugent-Hopkins
Edge
Even Strength
37.9% (103)
46.0% (250)
-8.1%
Power Play
30.6% (36)
70.6% (17)
-40.0%
Penalty Kill
25.0% (4)
31.8% (22)
-6.8%
On power play, Nugent-Hopkins has a +40.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Kempe is 44.0% vs left-shot opponents (84).
Kempe shoots left. Nugent-Hopkins is 47.6% vs left-shot opponents (185).
Home / Away
Kempe
Nugent-Hopkins
Home
35.8% (67)
50.3% (175)
Away
35.5% (76)
40.4% (114)
By Period
Kempe
Nugent-Hopkins
P1
36.5%
48.5%
P2
36.7%
45.9%
P3
31.4%
46.5%
OT
42.9%
0.0%
Final 5 min
40.0%
41.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kempe
26.0%▼
35.5%
35.7%
Nugent-Hopkins
42.0%▼
48.5%
46.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 10, 2026 | 1 | 17:15 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |